“The common anomaly for the remaining months of this 12 months would wish to drop by at the least 0.30°C for 2024 if it shouldn’t be hotter than 2023. This has by no means occurred in the whole ERA5 dataset, making it more and more doubtless that 2024 goes to be the warmest 12 months on document,” mentioned C3S.
This comes on the heels of the world going by means of its joint warmest August this 12 months, whereas Boreal Summer time (June-August) was the most well liked on document.
Common temperature highest
“August 2024 was the joint-warmest August globally (along with August 2023), with a median floor air temperature of 16.82°C, 0.71°C above the 1991-2020 common for August,” mentioned C3S, carried out by the European Centre for Medium-Vary Climate Forecasts on behalf of the European Fee with funding from the EU.
August 2024 was 1.51°C above the pre-industrial degree and was the thirteenth month in a interval of 14 months throughout which the global-average floor air temperature exceeded 1.5°C above pre-industrial ranges, the European climate company mentioned.
“The worldwide-average temperature for the previous 12 months (September 2023 – August 2024) is the very best on document for any 12-month interval, at 0.76°C above the 1991–2020 common and 1.64°C above the 1850–1900 pre-industrial common,” mentioned C3S.
These values are similar to these recorded for the earlier two 12-month durations, ending in June and July 2024. The year-to-date (January–August 2024) global-average temperature anomaly is 0.70°C above the 1991-2020 common, which is the very best on document for this era and 0.23°C hotter than the identical interval in 2023.
String of information
In keeping with Samantha Burgess, Deputy Director of the Copernicus Local weather Change Service (C3S): “Through the previous three months of 2024, the globe has skilled the most well liked June and August, the most well liked day on document, and the most well liked boreal summer time on document. This string of document temperatures is growing the chance of 2024 being the most well liked 12 months on document.”
She mentioned the temperature-related excessive occasions witnessed this summer time would solely change into extra intense, with extra devastating penalties for individuals and the planet “except we take pressing motion to cut back greenhouse fuel emissions.”
The common sea floor temperature (SST) for August 2024 was 20.91°C, the second-highest worth on document for the month, and solely 0.07°C beneath August 2023.
“The equatorial Pacific had below-average temperatures, indicating a growing La Niña, however SSTs throughout the oceans remained unusually excessive over many areas,” mentioned the European climate company.
As regards India, C3S mentioned the Indian subcontinent was hit by monsoon rains and Cyclone Asna.
Summer time woes
The worldwide-average temperature for boreal summer time (June–August) 2024 was the very best on document at 0.69°C above the 1991-2020 common for these three months, surpassing the earlier document from June–August 2023 (0.66°C).
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